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Where Harris and Trump Agree: Using AI to Outpace China

Lowy Institute

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Date Published
6 Nov 2024
Priority Score
4
Australian
No
Created
8 Mar 2025, 01:04 pm

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Summary

The article outlines the United States' strategic emphasis on leading in AI technologies, particularly in the domain of national security, as articulated in a recent White House National Security Memorandum. This memo underscores the urgency of advancing AI deployment faster than global competitors, notably China, highlighting the expansion of AI applications across supply chains and infrastructure components such as data, connectivity, and semiconductors. There is a significant focus on AI safety initiatives aimed at accelerating the integration of AI tools within the intelligence community. The memo also frames AI safety, security, and trustworthiness as global leadership values, though it seems to prioritize speed, potentially at the expense of rigorous ethical oversight. The article places this strategy within the geopolitical context of AI competition between the US and China, raising questions about the balance between rapid AI adoption and responsible governance.

Body

Listen to this articleThe US election might be afoot, but the Biden administration is still in charge for now. And the White House last monthissueda National Security Memorandum on AI that is important to acknowledge.At nearly 40 pages (of legalese), the memo is the most comprehensive public articulation of US national security strategy and policy towards artificial intelligence. Along with the accompanyingFrameworkto Advance AI Governance and Risk Management in National Security, it seeks to address growing concern the United States is relinquishing aspects of its global lead in AI to China. The US administration has accepted that AI is an unstoppable force and essential to national security.It is now official policy that the United States must lead the world in the ability to train new foundation models, and the security apparatus is directed to make it so.National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan described the memo as a roadmap to ensure the US lead in AI istranslated to actionand military edge, quickly. The need for speed is paramount. “We have to befaster in deploying AIand our national security enterprise than America’s rivals are in theirs.”This represents a significant shift. It is now official policy that the United States must lead the world in the ability to train new foundation models, and the security apparatus is directed to make it so.The memo expands AI to include a lengthy supply chain. Data, connectivity, energy generation and access, compute capacity (including semiconductors) and workforce are now included, elements I’ve described as the “architectures of AI”, in apolicy paper.The memo has a significant focus on AI safety initiatives, which has been designedexplicitlyto increase the adoption of frontier AI tools by the intelligence community. In the Australian context, ethical considerations of AI meantareas of intelligence production were not able to be automated. If the focus on ethical adoption is overtaken by a (real or perceived) need for speed, this could have significant ramifications for trust in intelligence agencies and their long-term capabilities.US President Joe Biden addressing CIA officers (Adam Schultz/Official White House Photo)The United States has worked to maintain its lead over China in AI computing infrastructure using mechanisms including controls on chip exports and outbound investment. The inclusion of energy as a critical component of the underlying infrastructure for AI should come as no surprise. In September this year, theWhite House announceddata and energy-related measures following an industry CEO roundtable.Importantly, the memo calls for intelligence collection on AI (and foreign threats to US AI markets) to rise to a top-tier intelligence priority. It directs US agencies to work with AI developers on cybersecurity and counterintelligence to protect innovations and reduce espionage efforts to steal US technologies. This accords with theFive Eyes startup advisory campaign. It’s also a message to US industry, especially tech companies, that the United States wants to incorporate AI products rapidly into intelligence systems and in a way that reduces overlap, gaps and conflicts. To do so, the tech sector will need to improve its engagement with the intelligence community.On Monday, Meta announced US and possibly Five Eyes agencies – and contractors – would beallowed to use Llama, its open-source AI model, previouslybannedunder their terms of service.The White House has also directed the intelligence community to “take actionsto protect classified and controlled information, given the potential risks posed by AI”. It mustconsider how AI may affect declassification, as “AI systems have demonstrated the capacity to extract previously inaccessible insight from redacted and anonymised data”. This recognises thatlittle is likely to remain secretforever. Much more can be known and inferred in an AI era – there is ashift in the role secrecy plays in intelligence.The memo includes a vital aspiration – to set the global leadership direction with the safety, security, and trustworthiness of AI as an international value proposition. It seeks tobalancenational security objectives with human rights and responsible use of AI. However, this section has the least formed policy measures. It is unclear if the US government will in fact prioritise multilateralism as it shapes the global AI landscape.While there is plenty to appreciate, the memo’s focus on speed contrasts sharply with the early guidance on AI ethics. For example, the Pentagon’s Responsible AI toolkit willbe updated. According to some analysts, the memo leavesethics as an afterthought. University of Virginia Law Professor (and former NSC advisor),Ashley Deeksargues it is especially important when operating in secrecy tojustifydecisions, but the memo does not appear to contemplate external oversight.Irrespective of who takes office after the presidential election, aspects of this policy are likely to remain. Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump will continue to assert US leadership in AI. While somereportssuggest Trump would repeal the underlying executive order, it seems likely either way there will be a strong focus on moving quickly on AI and securing its long supply chain.The candidates may disagree about what exactly that looks like and how to go about it, however there is bipartisan consensus that adoption of AI technologies for national security purposes and maintaining a lead in tech competition with China is critical.The real question is whether the United States can drive the adoption of safe, responsible and transparent use of AI if speed is the primary objective.