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Afraid of AI Replacing You? Here Are Jobs That May Be Future-Proof

SBS

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Date Published
26 Sept 2025
Priority Score
2
Australian
Yes
Created
28 Sept 2025, 12:28 pm

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Description

Jobs including tax preparation, legal advice and education may have the lowest risk of being replaced by technology.

Summary

The article examines a report by the investment bank Barrenjoey, highlighting the transformative effect of AI and technology on the Australian workforce. It emphasizes that while numerous roles may undergo significant change, AI is more likely to augment jobs, enhancing productivity rather than causing mass unemployment. Although about 10.9% of jobs face a high risk of being replaced by technology, the threat is not deemed immediate or drastic, with a focus on adaptation and augmentation. This perspective aligns with federal findings on AI's role in the workplace, underlining its relevance to both Australian and global discussions on AI's impact on job markets.

Body

Nearly every job in Australia will be transformed by technological change, with some roles becoming obsolete, new research has found.The report by investment bank Barrenjoey found only one in 1,000 Australian jobs will likely remain untouched by technology and artificial intelligence (AI), marking the "most comprehensive workforce transformation" in modern history.Johnathan McMenamin, head of economic forecasts at Barrenjoey and one of the report's authors, said the numbers were "incredibly significant"."That means that it's very broad base. It's going to affect the way we work right across the workplace," he told SBS News.Some jobs will change, some will 'fade'To examine the role of AI and technology in the workplace, the report analysed their impacts on two areas: skills and tasks that can be substituted by technology and those that can be augmented by it.McMenamin said augmentation was when technology contributed to better outcomes and productivity.The report found one in two jobs face "medium-to-high augmentation", while one in three face the risk of being replaced by technology."That means that we are more geared towards augmentation than we are towards substitution," McMenamin said."We think that the threat to the workforce isn't through a mass unemployment phase. This isn't a doomsday piece of research that you might have seen in some other instances, but it's a more balanced outcome that we're expecting for the workforce."The results align with a federal government report in August, which found generative AI is likely to augment the way we work rather than replace jobs.While about 30 per cent of the workforce have jobs with high exposure to augmentation, the August report found only 4 per cent of jobs are at risk of being automated by generative AI.The Barrenjoey report indicated that nearly 10.9 per cent of the workforce still faces a high risk of replacement, while 22.3 per cent are at medium risk.Just over seven per cent of the workforce is highly exposed to augmentation, while an additional 38.4 per cent has medium exposure."What will happen is those substitutable occupations, they will either completely transform in terms of what they look like, or you'll see their role in the workforce just fade over time," McMenamin said."It won't be an immediate overnight thing, but they will fade."Jobs with the most and least risksGenerally, labourers, machine operators, sales workers and general clerks are the jobs most at risk of substitution and obsoletion, according to the report.The research also reveals that consumer staples retail has the highest substitution risk among Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) industries, with more than 125,000 checkout operators and 560,000 sales assistants nationwide still performing tasks that could be automated.Commercial cleaners, sales assistants in broadline retail and specialty stores, kitchen-hands, couriers and postal carriers, truck drivers, and structural steel and welding trades workers are the next groups most at risk.READ MORE'Algorithm discrimination': How the use of AI in job hiring may disadvantage some peopleThe diversified consumer services sector, which includes jobs such as tax preparation, legal advice, education, and home security, had the lowest substitution rating.The life sciences tools and services sector, which includes medical and laboratory scientists, was the next lowest.The report also indicated that workers employed by a real estate investment trust generally had less exposure to technology compared to employees in other industries."The things that are most substitutable are those things that are very routine. These are tasks and skills that we've been replacing for a long period of time," McMenamin said.The report found the five industries with the highest share of highly substitutable workers were insurance, hotels and restaurants, beverages, consumer staples and food products.Which jobs are going to transform?On the other hand, McMenamin says the jobs that are likely to be augmented by technology are "tasks or areas of the workplace that haven't typically been disrupted by technology in the past" and often "cognitive"."Now professionals are more exposed to technology, whereas previously it was machine operators and labourers and clerical people, and now it's moving into a newer group," he said.The top five ASX industries that stand out for augmentation potential include:InsuranceHealth care technologySoftwareInteractive media and servicesIT servicesMcMenamin said the key takeaway from the findings was that workers "have to adapt"."This is a general-purpose technology, one that will change the way that we work across the workforce, just like when computers came in or when the internet was invented," he said."Everyone thinks doomsday, but I think ultimately what we know is that productivity drives increasing living standards."For the latest from SBS News,download our appandsubscribe to our newsletter.