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Does AI Pose an Existential Risk? We Asked Five Experts

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Date Published
5 Oct 2025
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3
Australian
Yes
Created
6 Oct 2025, 05:34 pm

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Sean Gladwell/Getty Images

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Debate among experts on whether artificial intelligence (AI) constitutes an existential risk is explored, with three out of five experts arguing against such risks. This article compiles views from prominent Australian academics, like Aaron J. Snoswell and Simon Coghlan, to examine AI's potential dangers, including the claim by Geoffrey Hinton that there is a 10-20% chance AI might lead to human extinction in three decades. While the piece provides various perspectives on catastrophic risks associated with superintelligent AI, it highlights an ongoing lack of consensus. The significance of this discourse lies in informing and shaping AI governance and policies both in Australia and globally, amidst rising capabilities of AI technologies such as large language models.

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Sean Gladwell/Getty ImagesAaron J. Snoswell,Queensland University of Technology;Niusha Shafiabady,Australian Catholic University;Sarah Vivienne Bentley,CSIRO;Seyedali Mirjalili,Torrens University Australia, andSimon Coghlan,The University of MelbourneThere are many claims to sort through in the current era of ubiquitous artificial intelligence (AI) products, especially generative AI ones based on large language models or LLMs, such as ChatGPT, Copilot, Gemini and many, many others.AIwill change the world. AI will bring “astounding triumphs”. AI is overhyped, andthe bubble is about to burst. AI will soon surpass human capabilities, and this “superintelligent” AI will kill us all.If that last statement made you sit up and take notice,you’re not alone. The “godfather of AI”, computer scientist and Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton, has saidthere’s a 10–20% chanceAI will lead to human extinction within the next three decades. An unsettling thought – but there’s no consensus if and how that might happen.So we asked five experts: does AI pose an existential risk?Three out of five said no. Here are their detailed answers.EmbedAaron J. Snoswell, Senior Research Fellow in AI Accountability,Queensland University of Technology;Niusha Shafiabady, Associate Professor in Computational Intelligence,Australian Catholic University;Sarah Vivienne Bentley, Research Scientist, Responsible Innovation, Data61,CSIRO;Seyedali Mirjalili, Professor of Artificial Intelligence, Faculty of Business and Hospitality,Torrens University Australia, andSimon Coghlan, Senior Lecturer in Digital Ethics; Deputy Director, Centre for AI and Digital Ethics,The University of MelbourneThis article is republished fromThe Conversationunder a Creative Commons license. Read theoriginal article.Article commenting explainedStill wondering how to post comments or reply in the forums? You’re not alone. We’ve pulled togethera handy guide that covers your biggest questions and clears away the confusion. And here’s a tip: if you want the fastest way to join the chat, download our app fromGoogle Playor theApp Storeand never miss a chance to be heard.What did you think of this article?Give us a thumbs up or a thumbs down!Like0Dislike0Also Read:Abuse of seniors with cognitive impairment continues to riseShare onFacebookShare viaEmailSharing is caringThe ConversationThe Conversation Australia and New Zealand is a unique collaboration between academics and journalists that is the world’s leading publisher of research-based news and analysis.LEAVE A REPLYCancel replyJoin the conversationNews, deals, games, and bargains for Aussies over 60. From everyday expenses like groceries and eating out, to electronics, fashion and travel, the club is all about helping you make your money go further.RegisterMember LoginOr continue usingFacebookGoogleAppleDON'T MISSWomen’s heart attack care improving but not fast enough, researchers say7 October 2025The surprising health hack hiding in your freezer: Why your morning toast just got healthier7 October 202570 is the new 50—if you eat the right fuel7 October 2025Bulk-billing rates remain low as GPs spend longer with patients, survey finds7 October 2025Load more- Advertisment -- Advertisment -